NOAA Updated Atlantic Hurricane Forecast to ‘Extremely Active’

NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center’s August Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook has escalated from ‘Above Average’ to ‘Extremely Active.’ 

The updated outlook estimates 19-25 named storms – an increase of 6 from May’s forecast. 7-11 of these storms becoming hurricanes (3-6 major hurricanes).  

“This year, we expect more, stronger, and longer-lived storms than average, and our predicted ACE Index (Accumulated Cyclone Energy) range extends well above NOAA’s threshold for an extremely active season,” said Gerry Bell, Ph.D., lead seasonal hurricane forecaster at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center.

The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st to November 30th, peaking in early September. The 2020 Atlantic hurricane season is the first hurricane season on record in which nine tropical storms formed before August 1.

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The number of named storms on specific dates over the last 100 years. This graph shows the peak of Hurricane Season occurs on September 10th.